The Ochepedia Thread

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ssjsa
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Thu Sep 06, 2018 10:59 am

Tweet from PDC.

AVERAGES!

Following Players Championship 17-18, @ochepedia has taken a look at the distribution of winning/losing match averages on the floor this year.
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ChrisW » Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:23 am

Who was the winning average of 64.

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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:27 am

ChrisW wrote:Who was the winning average of 64.
Don't know, but given Ginge's penchant for low averages, I'm sure he'll be along soon.
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by Ginge » Thu Sep 06, 2018 11:35 am

If it wasnt on telly I have no idea. But glad my postings in the PC thread the last few days have left a lasting impression :D

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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by Zeyes » Thu Sep 06, 2018 12:05 pm


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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by Paddy McGinty » Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:15 pm

ChrisW wrote:Who was the winning average of 64.
This is the Professional darts you are talking about? Sounds more like local darts down the Dog and Duck......
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by Black Velvet » Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:20 pm

Does anyone else see this thread and keep thinking it's translation of what Oche's gibberish means in English?

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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by Ginge » Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:21 pm

Ha!

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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Sun Sep 16, 2018 8:23 am

Christopher Kempf
@Ochepedia

Days elapsed since winning their most recent PDC (singles) title:
Gerwyn Price - 847
James Wade - 853
Stephen Bunting - 916
Kim Huybrechts - 1,063
Jelle Klaasen - 1,084
Raymond van Barneveld - 1,577
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Thu Sep 20, 2018 9:37 pm

Christopher Kempf
@ochepedia

With nearly 3 million darts thrown across the PDC's various events, the list of high averages is a robust indicator of where players are with respect to each other in terms of their long-term form.
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Sun Sep 30, 2018 9:07 am

Christopher Kempf
@ochepedia

If you give these 16 players 3 darts at a double, odds are you won't be coming back to the board. The identity of the #1 in these situations may surprise you.
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Sun Sep 30, 2018 2:46 pm

Christopher Kempf
@Ochepedia

A quick graph of monthly 3-dart averages over time from several of the PDC's elite players. I'll be experimenting with this style of presenting data more often in the near future.
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Fri Oct 12, 2018 10:15 am

Christopher Kemp
@Ochepedia

Two out of every three darts thrown in the game of 501 are aimed at treble 20. Here are the 32 players most adept at scoring 60 (and avoiding 1, 3, 5, 15!)
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Wed Oct 17, 2018 5:38 pm

Christopher Kempf
@Ochepedia

A graphical comparison of changes to PDC and BDO TV tournament total prize funds over the last 25 years. The graphs are on the same scale.
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by BlueSpark » Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:15 pm

ssjsa wrote:Christopher Kempf
@Ochepedia

A graphical comparison of changes to PDC and BDO TV tournament total prize funds over the last 25 years. The graphs are on the same scale.
That is remarkable
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by Garry Murphy » Wed Oct 17, 2018 8:35 pm

ssjsa wrote:Christopher Kempf
@Ochepedia

A graphical comparison of changes to PDC and BDO TV tournament total prize funds over the last 25 years. The graphs are on the same scale.
A sure case if a picture worth a thousand words
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by Zapp Brannigan » Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:34 pm

O

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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by devosteve » Wed Oct 17, 2018 10:22 pm

Great graphics. Incredible really when seeing it like that.
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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ChrisW » Wed Oct 17, 2018 11:55 pm

Garry Murphy wrote:
ssjsa wrote:Christopher Kempf
@Ochepedia

A graphical comparison of changes to PDC and BDO TV tournament total prize funds over the last 25 years. The graphs are on the same scale.
A sure case if a picture worth a thousand words
Absolutely (but of and is) :)

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Re: The Ochepedia Thread

Post by ssjsa » Fri Oct 19, 2018 1:39 pm

Christopher Kempf, the statistical analyst of the PDC, takes a look at a potential breakthrough moment for ProTour Order of Merit number one Ian White.

Were it not for a quirk of geography, perhaps White would be better known and appreciated by darts fans.

White, of Stoke-on-Trent, England, has had the misfortune of being overshadowed by two fellow-dart players from his hometown for the past decade - Phil Taylor and Adrian Lewis.

Their rise to win multiple World Championships contrasted White's repeated quarter-final exits, or earlier, of every televised PDC tournament he has played in.

There have always been at least two English players ranked ahead of him on the Order of Merit during his time in the PDC, meaning he has never represented his country at the World Cup.

Even the title of 'best player never to have won a TV title' is not clearly his; Dave Chisnall, from the other tungsten Mecca of St Helens, is a more obvious claimant due to his four final appearances.  

Perhaps that is about to change. Coming into the final weekend of Players Championship events, White is perched atop the Order of Merit for that series of events and is likely to be seeded first for the first time in Minehead, having won two titles and reached five additional semi-finals this year.

White even briefly broke into the world's top ten earlier this month, before being replaced by James Wade after his European Tour final appearance in Göttingen. 

He has not achieved that number one position by accident - having contested all 20 Players Championship events of 2018 thus far, White has been consistently successful, and not merely for having won two titles and reached five additional semi-finals.

His tour average of 96.94 ranks him third among the 128 tour card holders contesting those events, behind only Michael van Gerwen and Gary Anderson.

His record in last-leg deciders (14-5) is also among the best in the PDC. His 23 100+ averages on tour greatly outweighs his total of averages in the 80s (5), while no player has won more legs, hit more 180s, or collected more money (£52,000) in this year's Players Championships than Ian White.

Perhaps what is most impressive about White's performances has been the level of pressure he applies against the throw.

When an opponent faces White, there is a 10% chance that White will break throw with a 12-darter or better, and a 35% chance of White winning the leg in five visits.

Thus, just to hold throw against White's 99.08 average when throwing second, a player must be prepared to counter-attack with a 12- or 15-darter of his own nearly a majority of the time.

Against White's onslaught of 140s (0.73 per leg, nearly the highest rate in the PDC overall) and 180s (0.30 per leg, a comparable rate to that of notorious maximum hitters Van Gerwen and Chisnall), most players struggle to keep pace, and White, whose averages tend to increase as the size of his lead increases, is all too happy to seize the advantage.

White is unique among the world's top 25 players in having earned such a large percentage of his ranking income from floor events.

Over the past two years, he has built a solid base of income which will guarantee for the foreseeable future that he will not drop suddenly in the rankings due to a single poor showing in a tournament.

Since Van Gerwen and Anderson frequently miss weekends of Players Championship events once they have qualified for Minehead, no other player has demonstrated such commanding performances so consistently on the floor.

The trouble for White is that these events represent a poor return on investment compared to other events on the calendar.

Seven wins in a Players Championship event earns a player the winner's cheque of £10,000 - approximately £150 in ranking earnings per leg contested.

However, with only five matches for seeded players to win on the European Tour, along with the expanded prize fund, per-leg earnings are tripled or even quadrupled. In the PDC's premier events, earning efficiency is still higher. 

So although White claimed his first European Tour title this year, and with it the £25,000 top prize, he has left £24,000 in ranking income off the table by failing to win his first match in 12 of the past 25 European Tour events.

And while White should have no trouble qualifying for most televised tournaments, it has now been more than a year and a half since White's last televised quarter-final, and another year and a half since his preceding best finish, in 2015.

The circumstances of his loss to Gerwyn Price at the 2017 UK Open, in which he suffered one of the most brutal reversals in fortune ever seen in professional darts, are not easily forgotten, and his TV performances and income have not been the same since.

But there are reasons to believe White could make a dramatic improvement in his stage tournament fortunes in Minehead this year.

Since he will likely be ranked number one at the end of this coming weekend, he is unlikely to face the two most dangerous players in the field (MvG and Anderson) until at least the quarter-finals.

Minehead was also the site of his last two televised quarter-final appearances, so perhaps the Stoke ace has an affinity for that venue.

If he can bring the venerable performances witnessed in the silence of Barnsley or Milton Keynes to a TV event stage, he could be making many more appearances in major tournaments very soon, and living up to the promise of his remarkable ability.

Follow Christopher Kempf on Twitter through @Ochepedia
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