Q-School Official Discussion DAY 3

[crispy1978]

http://www.dartsdatabase.co.uk/Rankings.aspx

Current table. Only Kevin McDine of the 9-pointers (losers in the Tour Card qualification match) has picked up points in the other day.

What sort of points do we think will be enough to get inside the top 9 point scorers? 11? 12? 13? Based on that, you would think that Kevin McDine is *almost* qualified.

[oche balboa]

McDine is in but I think he will get one of he cards today

[987sechs]

Wrote a MATLAB programm to simulate 100,000 QSchool OOM. Code is based on 301 players (like on Day 1), all equally strong. The average-OOM after day 2 looks like this, which matches pretty good)
11.8844
10.2261
9.4609
9.1309
9.0267
9.0033
8.9890
8.8162
7.6866
6.9035
Under above asumptions (no dropouts next day, equal players) the average OOM after Day 4 looks like this.
16.1217
13.9416
12.8583
12.1330
11.6030
11.1894
10.8308
10.4715
10.1033
9.7581

[Welsh Wayne]

Wrote a MATLAB programm to simulate 100,000 QSchool OOM. Code is based on 301 players (like on Day 1), all equally strong. The average-OOM after day 2 looks like this, which matches pretty good)
11.8844
10.2261
9.4609
9.1309
9.0267
9.0033
8.9890
8.8162
7.6866
6.9035
Under above asumptions (no dropouts next day, equal players) the average OOM after Day 4 looks like this.
16.1217
13.9416
12.8583
12.1330
11.6030
11.1894
10.8308
10.4715
10.1033
9.7581

Bloody hell beat me to it just gonna post the same

[ChrisW]

http://www.dartsdatabase.co.uk/Rankings.aspx

Current table. Only Kevin McDine of the 9-pointers (losers in the Tour Card qualification match) has picked up points in the other day.

What sort of points do we think will be enough to get inside the top 9 point scorers? 11? 12? 13? Based on that, you would think that Kevin McDine is *almost* qualified.

Think he still needs another 3 or 4 points to be safe.

[Welsh Wayne]

http://www.dartsdatabase.co.uk/Rankings.aspx

Current table. Only Kevin McDine of the 9-pointers (losers in the Tour Card qualification match) has picked up points in the other day.

What sort of points do we think will be enough to get inside the top 9 point scorers? 11? 12? 13? Based on that, you would think that Kevin McDine is *almost* qualified.

Think he still needs another 3 or 4 points to be safe.

Yep only needs to go out rnd 1 today and the pressure mounts

[Dannyboy]

2013 PDC Qualifying School Day Three
Preliminary Round
Board One
Nigel Birch v Geoff Whitworth
Chris Allen v Jason Hogg

Board Two
Dave Place v Carl Evans
Chris Skeates v Mick Todd

Board Three
Simon Weston v Mike Gorst
Ryan Maher v Terry Temple

Board Four
Mark Gordon v Terry Hayes
Lewis Venes v Mike Nott

Board Five
Mike Nissen v Jamie Atkins
Tom Gibson v Ian Moss

Board Six
Phil Henshaw v David Hambrook
Mark Ashby v Hans Hagley

Board Seven
Mike Norton v Sean Johns
Barrie Bates v Rocco Maes

Board Eight
Chris Thompson v Jamie Gemmell

Board Nine
Stephen McNally v Mark Pritchard
Paul Schofield v David Broome

Board Ten
Simon Mountford v Max Hopp
Dave Ladley v Jason Wilson

Board 11
Marko Kantele v Steven Morrison
Karl Merchant v Mark Jones

Board 12
Kevin Lawler v Chris Hartrey

Board 13
Manuel Croskery v Lionel Sams
Andrew Johnson v Arron Wike

Board 14
Joseph Heywood v Matthew Dicken
Adam Hunt v Dylan Duo

Board 15
Torbjorn Gustafsson v Nathan Richards
Tony Cole v Ian Jopling

Board 16
Graham Mills v Dyson Parody

[Bram_1900]

Seems the big guns all got a first rounddraw

[Bram_1900]

It seems that Mason gave up. He's not in the draw.

No Wayne Atwood either.

[ChrisW]

First Round
Board One
Martin Murphy v John Burgess
Martin Perring v Carl Minter
Daniel Day v Brett Claydon
Lee Moffat v Kevin Dowling
Andrew Halls v Dave Charnock
Richard van Zijtveld v Darron Brown
David Murphy v Clive Lewis
Birch/Whitworth v Allen/Hogg

Board Two
Andrew Hibbert v Paul Boyle
Harry Miles v Jonathan Worsley
Steve Maish v Joey Palfreyman
Kentaro Suzuki v Lee Drummond
Andrew Kavanagh v Kieran Keogh
Brian Woods v Jamie Robinson
Andrew Richardson v Darren Williams
Place/Evans v Skeates/Todd

Board Three
Gavin Howard v Ross Lowe
Mark Cox v Peter Martin
Jamie Guilfoyle v Paul Anthony
Nick Malkin v Anthony Wort
Colin Fowler v Andy Pearce
David Copley v Michael Blake
James Young v Marc Dewsbury
Weston/Gorst v Maher/Temple

Board Four
Josh Jones v Wilfried Hoberg
Veijo Viinikka v Rob Commerford
Brandon Walsh v Peter Nightingale
Lee Saville v Stuart Dutton
Stuart Williams v Alex Roy
Darren Johnson v Samuel Poland
Paul Osmotherly v Ron Atwill
Gordon/Hayes v Venes/Nott

Board Five
Lee Whitworth v Brian Startin
Rod Sanders v Scott Pearson
Chris Rudd v Jon Farmer
Scott Coleman v Yoshan Roxy Iyer
Scott Taylor v Fred Smith
Martyn Turner v Jake Patchett
Ewan Hyslop v Matt Elsey
Nissen/Atkins v Gibson/Moss

Board Six
Darren Ward v Adam Smith-Neale
Kevin Thomas v Anthony West
Paul Wallace v Joshua Carter
Vernon Sheppard v Matthew Dennant
Ryan Palmer v Paul Hodkin
Wouter Vaes v Richard Slater
Andree Welge v Andy Parsons
Henshaw/Hambrook v Ashby/Hagley

Board Seven
Darren Cotterell v Dave Kelly
David Patterson v Simon Burt
James Forster v Dan Russell
Lee Bryant v Matthew Waddoups
David Sharp v Lee Gregory
Kirk Shepherd v Steve Randall
Aden Kirk v Alex Long
Norton/Johns v Bates/Maes

Board Eight
Stuart White v David Dodds
Jack Hill v Pete Dyos
Leon De Geus v Josh Pinder
Leo Hendriks v Kevin Cassidy
Peter Manley v Carlos Rodriguez
Toon Greebe v Steven Cupitt
Neville Roberts v Matthew Medhurst
Darrell Claydon v Thompson/Gemmell

Board Nine
Mark Frost v Davyd Venken
Alan Cliffe v Andy Hutchings
Hugo Deysel v Mark Breakspear
Patrick Pace v Heikki Hyvonen
Tomas Seyler v Paul Amos
Adrian Bolitho v John Court
Par Riihonen v Dan Read
McNally/Pritchard v Schofield/Broome

Board Ten
Jimmy Chojnowski v Danny Summers
Ryan De Vreede v Ricky Williams
Darren Beveridge v Steven Stanbridge
Craig MacCaskill v Chris Wickenden
Sean Liptrot v Jonathan Taylor
Andrew Beaumont v Richard Plowman
Mick Taylor v Brandonn Monk
Mountford/Hopp v Ladley/Wilson

Board 11
Prakash Jiwa v Ben Songhurst
Lee Palfreyman v Stephen Andrews
Gary Rigby v Ryan Harrington
Steven Pearson v Robert Wagner
Gary Eastwood v Sam Hill
Andy Pearson v Dave Honey
Campbell Jackson v Ian Lever
Kantele/Morrison v Merchant/Jones

Board 12
Tony Blundell v David Pallett
John Power v Matt Padgett
Andy Blackwell v Steve Harcourt
Jack Morris v Sean McArdle
Mark Forman v Dale Quince
Edwin Max v Mark Lawrence
Alan Derrett v Johnny Rylance
Rob Modra v Lawler/Hartrey

Board 13
Christopher Dale v Lee Hayes
Jordy Terburg v Simon Craven
Michael Rasztovits v Jason Marriott
Tony Tasker v Damien Sherwood
Yves Cottenge v Jamie Landon
Steve Coote v Sam Hamilton
Simon McCall v Scott MacKenzie
Croskery/Sams v Johnson/Wike

Board 14
Ashley Holgate v Ronny Huybrechts
Richard Foster v Keith Rooney
Steve Kirkby v Mike Veitch
Bruce Barker v Ricky Sudale
Jamie Ellan v Steve Hine
Oliver Stell v Paul Rowley
Jon Jukes v Harry Lane
Heywood/Dicken v Hunt/Duo

Board 15
John Turnbull v Kevin McDine
Jack Tweddell v Peter Evison
Jonathan Mulley v Norman Fletcher
Graham Hall v Stuart Millar
Royden Lam v Jack Harrington
Craig Pope v Steve Haggerty
Eduardo Sales Lopez v Mark Stephenson
Gustafsson/Richards v Cole/Jopling

Board 16
Dean Coe v Glen Miller
Mark Robbins v Lee White
Tom Martin v Aaron Dingivan
Sean Ryan v Joe Bata
Steve O'Callaghan v Matthew Tedstone
Paul Hannaway v Dafydd Edwards
Richie Winpenny v Steve Mason
Gareth Thomas v Mills/Parody

[Welsh Wayne]

It seems that Mason gave up. He's not in the draw.

No Wayne Atwood either.

Think Wayne went home after Day 1, feel for mace but its a tough QS thats a fact.

Kev Thomas,Darren Johnson & Kev Dowling will be my shout outs for today, wish them all luck.

[Ethanota]

I like the MATLAB simulation. A real high level of geekiness that appeals to me. Which number of points, after 4 events, gets you a card in 95% of cases? That seems like a decent target number of points to guarantee a Tour Card.

[nikkiboy]

It seems that Mason gave up. He's not in the draw.

No Wayne Atwood either.

Think Wayne went home after Day 1, feel for mace but its a tough QS thats a fact.

Kev Thomas,Darren Johnson & Kev Dowling will be my shout outs for today, wish them all luck.

Add Maishy to that and I'll be happy

[thorntree]

I think there's a bit of a flaw in the MATLAB that all the players are not equally strong! I think 12 or 13 might be the eventual number. 14 should be pretty safe.

[Booji Boy]

MON THE FIT LIKE MOB

10 virgin sheep to the first Masada man that gets a tour card.

[thorntree]

Players missing today...

Wayne Atwood
Leon Bailey
Brian Connolly
Michael Gallagher
Andrew Howarth
Atif Hussain
Leon Jarram
Michael Markovits
Chris Mason
David Murphy (not sure which)
Alan Priestley
Andy Relf
Paul Sawyer
Dave Walton
Mark Westgarth
Dave Weston
Gary Whittles
Mark Wilson

[Bram_1900]

Ryan Maher - Terry Temple 6-2

A lot of people on here were almost sure that Temple would get a tourcard, but If I'm right he only gained early round exits?

[Welsh Wayne]

It seems that Mason gave up. He's not in the draw.

No Wayne Atwood either.

Think Wayne went home after Day 1, feel for mace but its a tough QS thats a fact.

Kev Thomas,Darren Johnson & Kev Dowling will be my shout outs for today, wish them all luck.

Add Maishy to that and I'll be happy

Forgot about Elvis yeah a deffo shout out for Steve also Top Man

[Booji Boy]

Jason Hogg wins his prelim.

Mon the FIT LIKE MOB

[987sechs]

I think there's a bit of a flaw in the MATLAB that all the players are not equally strong! I think 12 or 13 might be the eventual number. 14 should be pretty safe.

Sure, but it's the easiest assumption for programming. Due to diefferent strenght it should be a little more crowded at the top, you are right.